Sri Lanka Urged to Prepare as El Niño Raises Risk of Extreme Weather

Executive Summary

Authorities are expected to continue monitoring global climate forecasts and issue updated advisories as weather patterns evolve.

El Niño conditions are expected to strengthen, increasing the likelihood of extreme weather across South Asia, including Sri Lanka.

Above-normal temperatures are expected during August and September, raising the risk of heat stress, higher electricity demand and pressure on water resources.

Higher-than-normal rainfall is possible between October and January, increasing the potential for flooding and landslides in vulnerable areas.

Drier conditions may develop from February onwards, posing risks to agriculture, water availability and hydropower generation.

Key sectors likely to be affected include agriculture, food production, water management, energy, transport and public health.

Businesses and government agencies are encouraged to strengthen preparedness measures, including water conservation, climate-resilient farming and disaster risk management.

While El Niño does not guarantee specific weather outcomes, it significantly increases the probability of climate-related extremes, making early planning essential.

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